DiggingNEWSIMP3译文If the players have the usual distribution of ability,the 21st best player will be only slightly worsethan the 2oth best. Probably the differencebetweenthem will beless than the measurementerror
译文 Digging MP3 If the players have the usual distribution of ability, the 21st best player will be only slightly worse than the 20th best. Probably the difference between them will be less than the measurement error
DiggingNEWISIMP3译文6 The 20th best player may feel he has beenmisjudged. But your goal here wasn't to provide aservice estimating people's ability. It was to pick ateam,and if the difference betweenthe 20th and21st best players is less than the measurement error,you've still done that optimally
译文 Digging MP3 6 The 20th best player may feel he has been misjudged. But your goal here wasn’t to provide a service estimating people’s ability. It was to pick a team, and if the difference between the 20th and 21st best players is less than the measurement error, you’ve still done that optimally
DiggingNEVISIMP3译文7 It's a false analogy even to use the word unfair todescribe this kind of misjudgment. It's not aimed atproducing a correct estimate of any given individual,but at selecting a reasonably optimal set
译文 Digging MP3 7 It’s a false analogy even to use the word unfair to describe this kind of misjudgment. It’s not aimed at producing a correct estimate of any given individual, but at selecting a reasonably optimal set
DiggingNEWVISIMP3译文8 One thing that leads us astray hereis that theselector seems to be in a position of power.Thatmakes him seem like a judge. If you regard someonejudging you as a customer instead of a judge, theexpectation of fairness goes away. The author of agood novel wouldn't complain that readers wereunfair for preferring a potboiler with a racy cover.Stupid, perhaps, but not unfair
译文 Digging MP3 8 One thing that leads us astray here is that the selector seems to be in a position of power. That makes him seem like a judge. If you regard someone judging you as a customer instead of a judge, the expectation of fairness goes away. The author of a good novel wouldn’t complain that readers were unfair for preferring a potboiler with a racy cover. Stupid, perhaps, but not unfair
DiggingNEUVISIMP3译文Our early training and our self-centeredness9combine to make us believe that every judgment ofus is about us. In fact most aren't. This is a rare casewherebeingless self-centered will make peoplemore confident. Once you realize how little mostpeople judging you care about judging youaccurately - once you realize that because of thenormal distribution of most applicant pools, itmattersleasttoiudgeaccurately inpreciselythecases where judgment has the most effect-youwon't take rejection so personallyH
译文 Digging MP3 9 Our early training and our self-centeredness combine to make us believe that every judgment of us is about us. In fact most aren’t. This is a rare case where being less self-centered will make people more confident. Once you realize how little most people judging you care about judging you accurately – once you realize that because of the normal distribution of most applicant pools, it matters least to judge accurately in precisely the cases where judgment has the most effect – you won’t take rejection so personally