Decision Theory supervisory Control 16.422 TWo broad areas of decision theory Normative Prescriptive Descriptive Why how do we make decisions? How does technology support or detract from optimal decision making

Research methods Qualitative Vs quantitative Understanding the relationship between objectives(research question) and variables is critical Information≠Data Information=data analysis Planning in advance is a must To include how data will be analyzed

Prior to 767 somewhat arbitrary break at 100 seats DC-9 (2 person crew-pilot, co-pilot u B-727 3 person crew-pilot, co-pilot, flight engineer) B-757/767 Designed for 2 person Crew u Use of automation and simplified systems so minimize systems management u Use of advanced Cockpit to Increase Sa and make primary flight tasks

How experts make decisions in the real world Descriptive method Stress, time-pressure, dynamic conditions, ambiguous information, and ill-defined goals Heuristics may introduce bias but can be very powerful Other related research areas

Working Memory Sensory Cognition Processing Response esponse Perception (STSS) selection execution System Environment (Feedback) Wickens hollands 2000 STSS=short term sensory storage Perception drives bottoms-up processing

Probabilit Theory Objective Subjective Probability Probability SEU ·MAUT Axiomatic

System/Software Reqs User survey. need's analysys, etc Feasiowty assessent Artifact ad Mwe-systemm evalation 户 rbm arce and usab reqs Innovative comeas for aKHE labod'uodgset planmin next versio? release

Outline Information Theory Signal Detection Theory Alerting Introduction

Traditional Systems Engineering Process model 16.422 ACQUISITION PHASE UTILIZATION PHASE

Course objectives This is a graduate student class designed to examine the fundamental issues of human supervisory control, wherein humans interact with complex dynamic systems, mediated through various levels of automation this course will explore how humans interact with automated systems of varying complexities, what decision