the Global Policy Institute ONDONX: Policy Analysis in a Changing World etropobtan Convergence Criteria:趋同标准 Inflation Rate(通货膨胀):<1.5% higher than av.of best three other countries Government deficit/GDP(政府赤字)<3% Government Debt/GDP(政府债务与GDP比率)<60% nterest Rates(利息率)<2% more than three lowest countries 13 Global Policy Institute
13 Global Policy Institute Convergence Criteria:趋同标准 • Inflation Rate (通货膨胀): <1.5% higher than av. of best three other countries • Government Deficit/GDP (政府赤字) <3% • Government Debt/GDP (政府债务与GDP比率)<60% • Interest Rates (利息率)< 2% more than three lowest countries
the Global Policy Institute ONDONX: Policy Analysis in a Changing World etropobtan 通货膨胀 Inflation 003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 2011 奥地利 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 0.4% 17% 3.6%Austria 比利时 1.8% 3. 5% Belgium 塞浦路斯 224 3.5%Cyprus 爱沙尼亚 芬 13% 0.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 3.9% 1.7% 3.3%Finland 法国 2.3% 19% 19% 1.6% 0.1% 1.7% 2. 3%franc 德国 1.0% 19% 1.8% 2.8% 1.1% 2.5%Gemal 希腊 34% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.0% 4.2% 1.4% 4.7% 3.1%Greece 爱尔兰 意大利 卢森堡 7% 4.1% 3. 7% Luxembourg 马耳他 19% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 0.7% 4.7% 2.0% 2.4%Malta 荷兰 22% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.0% 0.9% 2.5%Netherlands 葡萄牙 3.3% 3.0% 3.6%Portugal 斯洛伐克 4.3% 19%39%09% 0.7% 斯洛文尼亚 09 2.1% 21%Slovenia 西班牙 3.1% 2.8% 41%-0.2% Smallest 10%0.1%08%13%07%22%1.7%-1.6%2.1% Second Smallest 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% -0.9% 0.7% 2.3% Third Smalles 13% 18% 19% 1.7% 1.6% -0.2% 9%24% Average 12%11%14%15%13%25%09%09Picy3ue 14
14 Global Policy Institute Inflation 2003 2004 2005 通货膨胀 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 奥地利 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% Austria 比利时 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 1.8% 4.5% 0.0% 2.3% 3.5% Belgium 塞浦路斯 4.0% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 4.4% 0.2% 2.6% 3.5% Cyprus 爱沙尼亚 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 6.7% 10.6% 0.2% 2.7% 5.1% Estonia 芬兰 1.3% 0.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 3.9% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% Finland 法国 2.2% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.6% 3.2% 0.1% 1.7% 2.3% France 德国 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 0.2% 1.1% 2.5% Germany 希腊 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.0% 4.2% 1.4% 4.7% 3.1% Greece 爱尔兰 4.0% 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.1% -1.7% -1.6% Ireland 意大利 2.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% Italy 卢森堡 2.5% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 2.7% 4.1% 0.0% 2.8% 3.7% Luxembourg 马耳他 1.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 0.7% 4.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% Malta 荷兰 2.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.9% 2.5% Netherlands 葡萄牙 3.3% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% -0.9% 1.4% 3.6% Portugal 斯洛伐克 8.4% 7.5% 2.8% 4.3% 1.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.7% 4.1% Slovakia 斯洛文尼亚 5.7% 3.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% Slovenia 西班牙 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 2.8% 4.1% -0.2% 2.0% 3.1% Spain Smallest 1.0% 0.1% 0.8% 1.3% 0.7% 2.2% -1.7% -1.6% 2.1% Second Smallest 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.7% -0.9% 0.7% 2.3% Third Smalles 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% -0.2% 0.9% 2.4% Average 1.2% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 2.5% -0.9% 0.0% 2.3% 条件 (Average +1.5%) 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 0.6% 1.5% 3.8%
the Global Policy Institute ONDONX: Policy Analysis in a Changing World etropobtan 通货膨胀 nflation 2003 [2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 奥地利 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 0.4% 1.7% 3.6%Austria 比利时 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 23% 1.8% 4.5% 0.0% 2.3% 3.5% Belgium 浦路斯 4.0% 19% 2〔 2.3% 2.2% 4.4% 0.2% 2.6% 3.5%Cyprus 爱沙尼亚 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 67% 10.6% 0.2% 2.7% 5.1%Estonia 1.7%3.3% Finland 法国 2.2% 1.6% 3.2% 2.3%France 德国 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 0.2% 2.5%German 希腊 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 3.0% 4.2% 1.4% 4.7% 3.1%Greece 爱尔兰 4.0% 23%21% 27% 2.8% 3.1% -1.7% -1.6% Ireland 意大利 2.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 35% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9%Italy 森堡 32% 30% 4.1% 0.0% 220 Luxembourg 马耳他 1.9% 2.4%Malta 荷兰 2.2% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.5% Netherlands 葡萄牙 3.3% 2.5% 2.4% -0.9% 14% 3.6%Portugal 斯洛伐克 84% 7.5% 2.8% 4.3% 19% 3.9% 0.9% 0.7% 4.1%Slovakia 斯洛文尼亚 5.7% 3.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 0.9% 2.1% 2. 1%Slovenia 西班牙 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 2.8% 4.1% -0.2% 2.0% 3.1%Spain 条件 27%26%29%30%28%40%06%15% 3.8% 15 Global Policy Institute
15 Global Policy Institute 通货膨胀 Inflation 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 奥地利 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 0.4% 1.7% 3.6% Austria 比利时 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 1.8% 4.5% 0.0% 2.3% 3.5% Belgium 塞浦路斯 4.0% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 4.4% 0.2% 2.6% 3.5% Cyprus 爱沙尼亚 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 6.7% 10.6% 0.2% 2.7% 5.1% Estonia 芬兰 1.3% 0.1% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 3.9% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% Finland 法国 2.2% 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.6% 3.2% 0.1% 1.7% 2.3% France 德国 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 0.2% 1.1% 2.5% Germany 希 腊 3.4% 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 3.0% 4.2% 1.4% 4.7% 3.1% Greece 爱尔兰 4.0% 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.1% -1.7% -1.6% Ireland 意大利 2.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% Italy 卢森堡 2.5% 3.2% 3.8% 3.0% 2.7% 4.1% 0.0% 2.8% 3.7% Luxembourg 马耳他 1.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 0.7% 4.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% Malta 荷兰 2.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.9% 2.5% Netherlands 葡萄牙 3.3% 2.5% 2.1% 3.0% 2.4% 2.7% -0.9% 1.4% 3.6% Portugal 斯洛伐克 8.4% 7.5% 2.8% 4.3% 1.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.7% 4.1% Slovakia 斯洛文尼亚 5.7% 3.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% Slovenia 西班牙 3.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 2.8% 4.1% -0.2% 2.0% 3.1% Spain 条件 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 0.6% 1.5% 3.8%
the Global Policy Institute ONDONX: Policy Analysis in a Changing World etropobtan Government defici财政赤字 °财政赤字(盈余)=政府支出-政府收入 35.0% 财政赤字/GDP(%) 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% -15.0% -10.0% 5.0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 0.0% 希腊爱尔兰一意大利葡萄牙 西班牙亲约的条件 5.0%
16 Global Policy Institute Government Deficit 财政赤字 • 财政赤字(盈余) =政府支出 - 政府收入