1.2 Prediction principle Coherent principle System principle Seeking truth from Mass observation The various stages of accident.Think of prediction objects principle principle development are continuous and various events as a In the process of forecasting, it. Forecasting is based on a and stable. Coherent system, conduct is necessary to proceed from large amount of data analysis, principles and research can be comprehensive investigation objective facts, respect from which to find out the used to speculate and make and research historical data, and analyze general rules, to avoid accurate predictions from the comprehensively analyze future trends with reference to partiality. past. problems, prevent one past accident development idedness, and improve the laws in order to obtain more scientific nature of prediction accurate predictionresults
1.2 Prediction principle Coherent principle • The various stages of accident development are continuous and stable. Coherent principles and research can be used to speculate and make accurate predictions from the past. System principle • Think of prediction objects and various events as a system, conduct comprehensive investigation and research, comprehensively analyze problems, prevent onesidedness, and improve the scientific nature of prediction. Seeking truth from principle • In the process of forecasting, it is necessary to proceed from objective facts, respect historical data, and analyze future trends with reference to past accident development laws in order to obtain more accurate prediction results. Mass observation principle • Forecasting is based on a large amount of data analysis, from which to find out the general rules, to avoid partiality
1.2 Forecasting process Develop countermeasures Ask an expert Adopt a suitable method Discover the precursors as early as possible
1.2 Forecasting process Discover the precursors as early as possible Adopt a suitable method Ask an expert Develop countermeasures
Discover the precursors as ear ly as possible Enterprise security managers should always pay attention to unexpected events that may have a greater impact on the production and operation of the company and strive to find the precursors of their occurrence as early as possible. When a precursor appears, predict whether the event will occur and when
◆Discover the precursors as early as possible Enterprise security managers should always pay attention to unexpected events that may have a greater impact on the production and operation of the company, and strive to find the precursors of their occurrence as early as possible. When a precursor appears, predict whether the event will occur and when
Adopt a suitable method The analysis and prediction of accidents is mainly based on the obtained data and information, based on daily experience, using causal relationship analysis and logical reasoning ◆ Ask an expert Due to the limitations of their environment and status, enterprise workers often have limitations in understanding and understanding many things. In order to make correct predictions, relevant experts can be consulted to analyze and based on their knowledge, experience, wisdom and judgment, prediction
◆Adopt a suitable method The analysis and prediction of accidents is mainly based on the obtained data and information, based on daily experience, using causal relationship analysis and logical reasoning. Due to the limitations of their environment and status, enterprise workers often have limitations in understanding and understanding many things. In order to make correct predictions, relevant experts can be consulted to analyze and based on their knowledge, experience, wisdom and judgment,prediction. ◆Ask an expert