Chinas fertility Transition Shen Ke
China’s Fertility Transition Shen Ke
China's route to low fertility 8.0 7.0 1971“ Later, Longer and fewer” Policy 6.0 50 4.0 3.0 1959-61 Great Famine 2.0 1978 Economic Re form 1.0 1980One-child"Policy 0.0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year
China’s Route to Low Fertility 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year TFR 1971 “Later, Longer and Fewer” Policy 1980 “One-child” Policy 1978 Economic Reform 1959-61 Great Famine
TFR in 1975 by province 1-37 TFI 田田150210 2.10-300 4.005.00 6.41 II500600 区>=600 No data
TFR in 1975 by province 1.37 6.41
Outline 口 Measures of fertility a Fertility Transitions and Explanations n Provincial variations in fertilit
Outline Measures of fertility Fertility Transitions and Explanations Provincial Variations in Fertility
Period measures n Crude Birth Rate: annual number of births per thousand population in a given period [(number of births )(midyear population)]*1000 口 Example:US1940,1960,2000 1940 1960 2000 Live births 2, 554, 996 4250,7884195,113 132,122,000 179,979002822400 CBR (2,554996/132122001036 ? 19.3
Period Measures Crude Birth Rate: annual number of births per thousand population in a given period. [(number of births)/(midyear population)]*1000 Example: US 1940, 1960, 2000 1940 1960 2000 Live births 2,554,996 4,250,788 4,195,113 Total pop. 132,122,000 179,979,000 282,224,000 CBR =(2,554,996/132,122,000)*1000 = 19.3 23.6 ????