Welcome to System Dynamics Huang Dan 28Feb,2017 上游充通大￥ Shanghai Jiao Tong University
Welcome to System Dynamics Huang Dan 28 Feb, 2017
Course Overview: Four main sections: ·Basic tools ● Growth strategies Business models System Dynamics in Action Major themes: The good uses of models and becoming a good model consumer Systems thinking and System Dynamics:Intuition and modelling skills Group facilitation,organizational learning,getting results
Four main sections: • Basic tools • Growth strategies • Business models • System Dynamics in Action Major themes: • The good uses of models and becoming a good model consumer • Systems thinking and System Dynamics: Intuition and modelling skills • Group facilitation, organizational learning, getting results Course Overview:
Grading Homework 45% Team Project 40% Active Participation 15% Total 100% All project team members receive same project grade.Work together！ 3
3 Grading Homework 45% Team Project 40% Active Participation 15% Total 100% All project team members receive same project grade. Work together!
Faster-Better-Cheaper? NASA The NASA New Millennium Program: Faster,Better,Cheaper craft were small and most of them tested new technologies.Of the 16 projects undertaken,six had failed as of January 1,2000.The resulting success rate,a paltry 63 percent,was significantly below spacecraft normand well below the expectations for reliability that advocates placed on the initiative. Howard E.Mccurdy,Faster,Better,Cheaper:Low-Cost Innovation in the U.S.Space Program,The John Hopkins University Press,2001. 4
4 Faster-Better-Cheaper? Howard E. Mccurdy, Faster, Better, Cheaper: Low-Cost Innovation in the U.S. Space Program, The John Hopkins University Press, 2001. The NASA New Millennium Program: Faster, Better, Cheaper
Last Class ◆Policy Resistance 。“side effects,”weakened solutions,make the problem worse ◆Flawed mental models open loop,narrow boundaries,assumed linearity,poor understanding of accumulation and chance
Last Class Policy Resistance • “side effects,” weakened solutions, make the problem worse Flawed mental models • open loop, narrow boundaries, assumed linearity, poor understanding of accumulation and chance,