上海充通大学 SHANGHAI JIAO TONG UNIVERSITY Shipping market characters(1990s) 图320世纪90年代Clarksea Index走势图 (Index covers tankers,bulkers,2008=100) 1. 90年代千散货新船订单较少，市场 0803086504050305050 比较景气 2. 1996年千散货新船交付，陷入衰退 3. 1997年亚洲金融风暴，航运业连续 Aep/000S 3年萧条 $19,000/day s20,000/day 2 已 e 三 品 多 8 气 焉后 后 28-297 嚚 盞 88-元 星 291er 司 200er 201e7 801em 80.2em 资料来源：Clarkson Research
Shipping market characters (1990s)
上游充通大兽 WORLD ECONOMY&SEA TRADE SHANGHAI JIAO TONG UNIVERSITY Industrial Production Seaborne Trades 1987-2009 %p.a. 15 m tonnes Pacific-S/SE Asia India 3,500 13 lron Ore Coal Grain Minor Bulks 11 3,000 Crude Oil Oil Products 2,500 5 2,000 1,500 1,000 3 5 500 Atlantic-US Europe 9 LO-In 20-inr E0-uer 80-in So-inr 90-in Z0-m7 80-uer 多 多 多 多 多 699口 点 800g 1000 96009
WORLD ECONOMY & SEA TRADE
上游京酒大煌 SHANGH Industrial production change 02% 0505050 Atlantic 20 Pacific - 8 5 g 8 芦 8 8 6 8 邑 長 每 長 長 每 長 長 ⑤ 与 EL,uer
上游充通大学 汇率指数 SHANGHAI JIAO TONG UNIVERSITY Exchange Rate Trends 170 Index Jan'00=100 $/Sterling S/Yen S/Euro 何s纯邻20000 Exchange Rate Trends 170 Index Jan'00=100 号 8 g g 8 8 88g 8 8 S/Sterling AON 皇 习 80.2 每 写 S/Yen S/Euro 9910000 LL,InC LL,AON 辱 邑 易 L,O 与
汇率指数
上游充通大学 Sales Purchase SHANGHAI JIAO TONG UNIVERSITY Scrapping Price Trends 800 USS per ldt © Newbuilding Tankers-India Tankers-B.Desh 600 .Handy Bulk-B.Desh 68 450 400 350 Figure SB.1 300 Newbuilding prices down to levels of 2004-2006 250 200 150 200 2004-2006 150 162 150 Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov 150 '0708'080808'08080909'0909'09 09 20 (8908 10 10B 113 100 90 99 72 61 60 圈Demolition 50 60 30 G%2 Sources:Clarkson Danish Ship Finance ot-Panoma Capesize
Newbuilding Demolition Sales & Purchase