遥民投票意欲（综合全港各區调查结果）Propensitytovote(Territory-widerollingsurveyresult)90%88%86%84%82%80%78%76%调查日期DateofSurvey11/9/04:Anupwardtrendhasbeenobserved.thelatestestimateisthattheactual turnoutratethisyearshould liebetween52%-57%..撰民的整體投票意欲在最俊楷段呈現上升.最新估十今年的實際投票率可能介乎52%至57%之間
11/9/04: ⚫ An upward trend has been observed . the latest estimate is that the actual turnout rate this year should lie between 52% - 57%. ⚫ 選民的整體投票意欲在最後階段呈現上升.最新估計今年的實際投 票率可能介乎52％至57％之間. 選民投票意欲 (綜合全港各區調查結果) Propensity to vote (Territory-wide rolling survey result) 76% 78% 80% 82% 84% 86% 88% 90% 4-6/8/04 5-7/8/04 6-8/8/04 7-9/8/04 8-10/8/04 9-11/8/04 10-12/8/04 11-13/8/04 12-14/8/04 13-15/8/04 14-16/8/04 15-17/8/04 16-18/8/04 17-19/8/04 18-20/8/04 19-21/8/04 20-22/8/04 21-23/8/04 22-24/8/04 23-25/8/04 24-26/8/04 25-27/8/04 26-28/8/04 27-29/8/04 28-30/8/04 29-31/8/04 30/8-1/9/04 31/8-2/9/04 1-3/9/04 2-4/9/04 3-5/9/04 4-6/9/04 5-7/9/04 6-8/9/04 7-9/9/04 調查日期 Date of Survey 百分比 Percentage
Tracking HKIslandvoterpreference...PointstonoteSplit in support between Audrey Euand YeungSum's lists,andbetween Rita FanandMa Lik'slistsDipin support for Democratic Partyinmid-AugustNote movements in the last 7 days, especiallythoseinthelastfewExitpoll showsthat 1/5of DP'svotesweretactical
Tracking HK Island voter preference. Points to note ⚫ Split in support between Audrey Eu and Yeung Sum’s lists, and between Rita Fan and Ma Lik’s lists ⚫ Dip in support for Democratic Party in mid-August ⚫ Note movements in the last 7 days, especially those in the last few ⚫ Exit poll shows that 1/5 of DP’s votes were tactical
香港岛選民意向走势.注意事项余若薇名罩興杨森名罩票源重；范徐泰名罩馬力名罩票源重民主黛的支持度在8月中下跌留意最筱一个星期的博向，尤其是在最俊綫天票站调查无示民主黛名罩支持者中有1/5主要来自策略性配票
香港島選民意向走勢. 注意事項 ⚫ 余若薇名單與楊森名單票源重疊；范徐麗泰名單與 馬力名單票源重疊 ⚫ 民主黨的支持度在8月中下跌 ⚫ 留意最後一個星期的轉向，尤其是在最後幾天 ⚫ 票站調查顯示民主黨名單支持者中有1/5主要來自 策略性配票
Tracking KL East voter preference...Pointsto noteFred Li's list never recovered fromthe plunge inmid-August, support appeared to haveflowed toAlan LeongChan Yuen Han's support seems to be splittingwithAlbert Cheng and Chan Kam Lam combinedChanKam Lam's support rapidly surged in thelastweek
Tracking KL East voter preference. Points to note ⚫ Fred Li’s list never recovered from the plunge in mid-August, support appeared to have flowed to Alan Leong ⚫ Chan Yuen Han’s support seems to be splitting with Albert Cheng and Chan Kam Lam combined ⚫ Chan Kam Lam’s support rapidly surged in the last week
九龍东選民意向走势.注意事项李華明名罩的支持度在8月中下跌俊一沉不起票源似乎流向粱家陳婉斓名罩似乎興經翰及陳林张名罩结合俊票源重叠陳林的支持度在最俊一個星期急速上升
九龍東選民意向走勢. 注意事項 ⚫ 李華明名單的支持度在8月中下跌後一沉不起， 票源似乎流向梁家傑 ⚫ 陳婉嫻名單似乎與鄭經翰及陳鑑林兩張名單結合 後票源重疊 ⚫ 陳鑑林的支持度在最後一個星期急速上升