1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S.China Policy ·Dua-track policy Maintaining a balance between the two sides -Periodical shift of its preference Using China to check the Soviet Union/Jiang Nan incident (70-80s) Tiananmen/end of the Cold War (early 90s) U.S.-China interest redefined (late 90s) Even-handed policy/co-managing the Taiwan issue (2000s)
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S. China Policy • Dual-track policy – Maintaining a balance between the two sides – Periodical shift of its preference • Using China to check the Soviet Union/Jiang Nan incident (70-80s) • Tiananmen/end of the Cold War (early 90s) • U.S. –China interest redefined (late 90s) • Even-handed policy/co-managing the Taiwan issue (2000s)
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S.China Policy o Strategic ambiguity Double deterrence -Aggressive diplomacy Toward strategic clarity? conditional commitment to T's security Not support vs.oppose Opposing referenda on Taiwan's bit for UN Intervening in Taiwanese domestic policies
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S. China Policy • Strategic ambiguity – Double deterrence – Aggressive diplomacy • Toward strategic clarity? – conditional commitment to T’s security • Not support vs. oppose – Opposing referenda on Taiwan’s bit for UN – Intervening in Taiwanese domestic policies
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S.China Policy The most important goal of the United States in the Taiwan Strait is "to serve as a reliable friend to a longtime partner that shares many American values and is acting responsibly in international politics' and the second goal is to avoid war, particularly large-scale war (Christopher Twomey
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S. China Policy • The most important goal of the United States in the Taiwan Strait is “to serve as a reliable friend to a longtime partner that shares many American values and is acting responsibly in international politics” and the second goal is to avoid war, particularly large-scale war （Christopher Twomey）
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S.China Policy Some people may mistake the second goal as the first goal and others may think a Taiwan that "remains militarily separated"from the mainland as in the U.S.national interest .solationalism vs.hard realism
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S. China Policy • Some people may mistake the second goal as the first goal and others may think a Taiwan that “remains militarily separated” from the mainland as in the U.S. national interest • Isolationalism vs. hard realism
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S.China Policy ·Most American views would“cede the initiative"to the two sides of the Taiwan Strait,believing that American interests are "fundamentally about the nature of interaction between the two sides rather than the outcome that comes out of that interaction.” Realism or liberalism?
1.The Taiwan Dilemma in U.S. China Policy • Most American views would “cede the initiative” to the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, believing that American interests are “fundamentally about the nature of interaction between the two sides rather than the outcome that comes out of that interaction.” • Realism or liberalism?