INTRODUCTION--Objective Our report would like to apply the statistics method with substantial evidence data got from CHINA POPULATION STATISTICS YEARBOOK (1995 2006), and proceed the research and the analysis on the male-female birth rate, fertility rate and dead rate among different area(city, town, village), and different years, to have a trend analysis and prediction total China population 自强不息,厚德载物- IE( @Applied Statistics, Group Report
--自强不息，厚德载物-- IE @Applied Statistics, Group Report 6 Our report would like to apply the statistics method with substantial evidence data got from CHINA POPULATION STATISTICS YEARBOOK (1995- 2006) , and proceed the research and the analysis on the male-female birth rate, fertility rate and dead rate among different area (city, town, village), and different years, to have a trend analysis and prediction on the total China population. INTRODUCTION--Objective
INTRODUCTION--Terminology ciy,Town& Village城市,乡镇,农村: City and Town in China is administratively defined as statutory cities and statutory towns judging from the population, economic, public finance and Infrastructure four aspects. village is referred to the areas other than cities and towns Birth rate( or crude birth rate)出生率 The number of live births per 1,000 population in a given year. Not to be confused with the growth rate Death rate( or crude death rate)死亡率: The number of deaths per 1,000 population in a given year Sex ratio出生人口性别比: The number of males per100 females in a population Fertility Rate生育率: The number of live births per1,000 women ages 15-44 or 15-49 years in a given year . Definition from Administrative Office of the State Council &Population Reference Bureau, USA 自强不息,厚德载物- IE(@Applied Statistics, Group Report ③
--自强不息，厚德载物-- IE @Applied Statistics, Group Report 7 INTRODUCTION--Terminology ◼ City, Town & Village城市，乡镇，农村: City and Town in China is administratively defined as statutory cities and statutory towns judging from the population, economic, public finance and Infrastructure four aspects. Village is referred to the areas other than cities and towns. ◼ Birth Rate (or crude birth rate) 出生率:The number of live births per 1,000 population in a given year. Not to be confused with the growth rate. ◼ Death Rate (or crude death rate) 死亡率:The number of deaths per 1,000 population in a given year. ◼ Sex Ratio出生人口性别比:The number of males per 100 females in a population. ◼ Fertility Rate生育率：The number of live births per 1,000 women ages 15-44 or 15-49 years in a given year. ----Definition from Administrative Office of the State Council &Population Reference Bureau, USA
OUTLINE PART 1: Introduction(Background, Objective, Terminology PART 2: Descriptive Analysis PART 3: Hypothesis Test of Male-Female Birth Rate (Descriptive date, Exploratory date, Cause analysis) PART 4: Fertility Comparison (Descriptive date, Exploratory date, Cause analysis) PART 5: Analysis of Ratio (Descriptive date, Exploratory date, Cause analysis) PART 6: Analysis of Dead Rate (Descriptive date, Exploratory date, Cause analysis) PART 7: Time Series Analysis of Total Population Size (Trend analysis, Model based analysis PART 3: Conclusion 自强不息,厚德载物- IE( @Applied Statistics, Group Report
--自强不息，厚德载物-- IE @Applied Statistics, Group Report 8 OUTLINE PART 1:Introduction (Background, Objective, Terminology ) PART 2:Descriptive Analysis PART 3:Hypothesis Test of Male-Female Birth Rate (Descriptive date, Exploratory date , Cause analysis) PART 4:Fertility Comparison (Descriptive date , Exploratory date , Cause analysis) PART 5:Analysis of Ratio (Descriptive date , Exploratory date , Cause analysis) PART 6:Analysis of Dead Rate (Descriptive date , Exploratory date , Cause analysis) PART 7:Time Series Analysis of Total Population Size (Trend analysis, Model based analysis) PART 8: Conclusion
DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS-Variables a Population size of China: 1x10 Fertility rate:(生育率)‰(1994-2005) Male-female birth rate: F: 100(1994-2005) Male(female) ratio of a certain age: the percentage of the male number of total male population Death rate:%0 自强不息,厚德载物- IE( @Applied Statistics, Group Report
--自强不息，厚德载物-- IE @Applied Statistics, Group Report 9 DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS-Variables ◼ Population size of China: ◼ Fertility rate：(生育率) ‰ （1994-2005） ◼ Male-female birth rate：F:100 （1994-2005） ◼ Male (female) ratio of a certain age: % ◼ the percentage of the male number of total male population. ◼ Death rate: ‰ 4 1 10
DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS-Data sheet 罪 Project M.回8]205 amale-female rate C2-IC3 C4 C6 Bitrate C-T-V Age Type Male ratio M-death rate Female ratio F-death ratio Population size 0.46 Omale-female population 0,46 084 口2005 0,41 58 0.05 口2004 cIty 0.4 000 56 0.39 37 口2003 0.49 0.42 2002 5 City 051 043 0. 日2001 cIty 口 birth rate2005 7City 0.53 0 2950 0.46 0.08 abirth rate-2004 cIty 0.53 0.47 0.15 abirth rate-2003 cIty 0.56 0.44 0.48 白 birth rate-2002 10City 060 0.18 0.53 0, The data were collected 口 birth rate2001 liCity 0.5 0 0.52 1312City 061 0 0.54 from internet such as 13City 62 0.13 0. CHINA POPULATION 15 14City 0.58 5City 0.75 0.71 0.69 STATISTICS YEARBOOK 79 0.27 17 City 0.38 (19952006) 11122222222 18 City 0.88 19 City 047 0.81 (中国人口统计年鉴)etc. 20City 0.69 0.59 21City 0.69 0.43 0.76 0.73 86 0.42 0.21 25c1 0.73 27City 0.85 84 28 City 0. 自强不息,厚德载物- E(@Applied Statistics, Group Report ③m
--自强不息，厚德载物-- IE @Applied Statistics, Group Report 10 The data were collected from internet ,such as CHINA POPULATION STATISTICS YEARBOOK (1995-2006) (中国人口统计年鉴) etc. DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS-Data Sheet